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Each line rebased to 100 where the shared window begins — growth from a common base, not levels.

Stock Ownership, Top 1% Federal Funds Rate
Stock Ownership, Top 1%Federal Funds Rate Rebased to 100 at Jul 1989
1990-91 Recession2001 RecessionGlobal Financial CrisisCOVID-19 Recession20406080100120100 = Jul 198919901995200020052010201520202025Indexed to 100 · r = -0.36 over the overlap — correlation is not causation · econscout.com

Each series rebased to 100 at Jul 1989. equity_share_top1, fed_funds_rate · read from cache, latest-revised.

  • Stock Ownership, Top 1%

    Share of corporate equities and fund shares held by the top 1%.

    Share of corporate equities and mutual-fund shares held by the top 1% of households (Fed DFA).

  • Federal Funds Rate

    The interest rate the Fed sets to steer the economy.

    Effective federal funds rate, monthly average.

Each measured on its own terms — compare the lenses, not just the lines. Full lessons → Learn

r = -0.36 weak correlation · 147 overlapping months

…and that proves nothing. Two lines moving together is not one moving the other. Almost any pair of trending economic series correlates highly — they share the same long climb of growth, prices, and population, or it is chance. r measures co-movement over this exact window, never cause. Change the range or swap a series and watch r move. Why correlation isn’t causation →