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Each line rebased to 100 where the shared window begins — growth from a common base, not levels.

Stock Ownership, Bottom 50% Labor Productivity
Stock Ownership, Bottom 50%Labor Productivity Rebased to 100 at Jul 1989
1990-91 Recession2001 RecessionGlobal Financial CrisisCOVID-19 Recession6080100120140160180200100 = Jul 198919901995200020052010201520202025Indexed to 100 · r = -0.76 over the overlap — correlation is not causation · econscout.com

Each series rebased to 100 at Jul 1989. equity_share_bottom50, productivity · read from cache, latest-revised.

  • Stock Ownership, Bottom 50%

    Share of corporate equities and fund shares held by the bottom 50%.

    Share of corporate equities and mutual-fund shares held by the bottom 50% of households (Fed DFA).

  • Labor Productivity

    Output produced per hour worked, as an index.

    Nonfarm business sector real output per hour of all persons, indexed to 2017=100.

Each measured on its own terms — compare the lenses, not just the lines. Full lessons → Learn

r = -0.76 strong correlation · 147 overlapping months

…and that proves nothing. Two lines moving together is not one moving the other. Almost any pair of trending economic series correlates highly — they share the same long climb of growth, prices, and population, or it is chance. r measures co-movement over this exact window, never cause. Change the range or swap a series and watch r move. Why correlation isn’t causation →