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Each line rebased to 100 where the shared window begins — growth from a common base, not levels.

FHFA House Price Index Labor Productivity
FHFA House Price IndexLabor Productivity Rebased to 100 at Jan 1975
1973-75 Recession1980 Recession1981-82 Recession1990-91 Recession2001 RecessionGlobal Financial CrisisCOVID-19 Recession2004006008001000100 = Jan 197519801990200020102020Indexed to 100 · r = 0.95 over the overlap — correlation is not causation · econscout.com

Each series rebased to 100 at Jan 1975. fhfa_hpi, productivity · read from cache, latest-revised.

  • FHFA House Price Index

    FHFA US house-price index, a long-history price gauge.

    Federal Housing Finance Agency US house-price index (1980 Q1 = 100).

  • Labor Productivity

    Output produced per hour worked, as an index.

    Nonfarm business sector real output per hour of all persons, indexed to 2017=100.

Each measured on its own terms — compare the lenses, not just the lines. Full lessons → Learn

r = 0.95 very strong correlation · 205 overlapping months

…and that proves nothing. Two lines moving together is not one moving the other. Almost any pair of trending economic series correlates highly — they share the same long climb of growth, prices, and population, or it is chance. r measures co-movement over this exact window, never cause. Change the range or swap a series and watch r move. Why correlation isn’t causation →